| 000 -LEADER |
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| fixed length control field |
00490nam a2200157Ia 4500 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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| fixed length control field |
161214s9999 xx 000 0 und d |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
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| International Standard Book Number |
9780713999952 |
| Terms of availability |
hbk |
| 082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
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| Classification number |
003.54 |
| Item number |
TAL |
| 100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas |
| 245 #0 - TITLE STATEMENT |
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| Title |
Black swan : the impact of the highly improbable |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
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| Place of publication, distribution, etc |
London: |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc |
Penguin Books, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc |
2007 |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
|---|
| Extent |
xxviii, 366 p.; |
| Other physical details |
ill.: |
| Dimensions |
24 cm. |
| 365 ## - TRADE PRICE |
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| Price type code |
INR |
| Price amount |
495.00 |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
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| Summary, etc |
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. And why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ‘impossible’. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and shows us how to face the world. |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Forecasting |
|
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Uncertainty (Information theory) - Social aspects |
|
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Probability |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
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| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
|
| Item type |
Books |