| 000 -LEADER |
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| fixed length control field |
a |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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| fixed length control field |
250320b xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
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| International Standard Book Number |
9780226822587 |
| 082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
|---|
| Classification number |
519.5 |
| Item number |
DOW |
| 100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Downey, Allen B. |
| 245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT |
|---|
| Title |
Probably overthinking it : how to use data to answer questions, avoid statistical traps, and make better decisions |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
|---|
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc |
The University of Chicago Press, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc |
2023 |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc |
Chicago : |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
|---|
| Extent |
252 p. ; |
| Other physical details |
ill., |
| Dimensions |
24 cm |
| 365 ## - TRADE PRICE |
|---|
| Price amount |
24.00 |
| Price type code |
$ |
| Unit of pricing |
90.60 |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE |
|---|
| Bibliography, etc |
Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
|---|
| Summary, etc |
Teacher, data scientist, and blogger Allen B. Downey knows well that the human mind has both an innate ability to understand statistics and to be fooled by them. Statistically speaking, you will be less popular than your friends, arrive at a train station during a gap in service, and fail to find a running mate in a race. But more than surprising us, errors in statistical thinking, Downey shows, can have a huge impact. Statistical confusion has led to incorrect patient prognoses, caused mistakes in predicting disasters like earthquakes, hurt vaccination programs, hindered social justice efforts, and led to dubious policy decisions. Written for those who may have once taken a statistics course, but now forget almost everything they've learned, the book includes a diversity of examples that use real data and have real world impacts. Building understanding incrementally, Downey engagingly and accessibly helps readers understand what we might learn when we get the mathematics right, and the consequences when we get it all wrong. |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Popular science |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Berkson's paradox |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Cohort effect |
|
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Gaussian model |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Lognormal model |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Overton window |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Percentile rank |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Solar flares |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
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| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
|
| Item type |
Books |