| 000 -LEADER |
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| fixed length control field |
a |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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| fixed length control field |
250817b xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
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| International Standard Book Number |
9780241658628 |
| Terms of availability |
(hbk) |
| 082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
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| Classification number |
519.20 |
| Item number |
SPI |
| 100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
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| Personal name |
Spiegelhalter, David |
| 245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT |
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| Title |
The art of uncertainty : how to navigate chance, ignorance, risk and luck |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
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| Name of publisher, distributor, etc |
Pelican, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc |
2024 |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc |
London : |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
|---|
| Extent |
xiv, 487 p. ; |
| Other physical details |
ill., |
| Dimensions |
23 cm. |
| 365 ## - TRADE PRICE |
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| Price amount |
22.00 |
| Price type code |
£ |
| Unit of pricing |
117.05 |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE |
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| Bibliography, etc |
Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
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| Summary, etc |
We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives? David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order. Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know. David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.
We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives? David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order. Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know. David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.
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| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Sociology |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Science and Nature |
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|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Mathematics |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
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| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
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| Item type |
Books |