000			a
999			_c33406 _d33406
008			241114b xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a9781399705509
082			_a153.42 _bPER
100			_aPerlmutter, Saul
245			_aThird millennium thinking : creating sense in a world of nonsense
260			_bHodder & Stoughton, _c2024 _aLondon :
300			_a305 p. ; _bill., _c24 cm
365			_b431.00 _c₹ _d01
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
520			_aIn our deluge of information, it's getting harder and harder to distinguish the revelatory from the contradictory. How do we make health decisions in the face of conflicting medical advice? How can we navigate the next uncomfortable discussion with family members, who follow completely different experts on climate? In Third Millennium Thinking, a physicist, a psychologist, and a philosopher introduce readers to the tools and frameworks that scientists use to keep from fooling themselves, to understand the world, and to make decisions. We can all borrow from these trust-building techniques that scientists have tested and developed for more than two millennia to tackle problems both big and small.
650			_aBusiness & Economics
650			_aScientific optimism
650			_aFerni problems
650			_aBlind analysis
650			_aGalton's method
650			_aForecasting technologies
650			_aHindsight bias
650			_aOnline thinking technology
650			_aProbabilistic thinking
650			_aPulsar signal
650			_aWason four-card problem
700			_aCampbell, John
700			_aMacCoun, Robert
942			_2ddc _cBK